This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limi
September 3097.5%
May 80.0%
May 310.0%
May 240.0%
June 150.0%
June 300.0%
June 120.0%
June 140.0%
June 80.0%
June 90.0%
June 100.0%
June 130.0%
June 110.0%
July 310.0%
July 150.0%
July 70.0%
August 310.0%
July 240.0%
August 150.0%
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Largest tracked positions held by smart-money wallets.