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Live odds across 3 venues — Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold & Limitless.
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polymarket
7999
manifold
5418
limitless
115
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60+ markets
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polymarket
3mo left
Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026
5%
Politics
6 markets
·
$6.2M Vol
polymarket
3mo left
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
December 31
9%
Politics
7 markets
·
$2.3M Vol
polymarket
3mo left
Will Alberta join the US?
Yes
2%
Politics
1 market
·
$2.2M Vol
polymarket
3mo left
Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
December 31
3%
Politics
4 markets
·
$2.0M Vol
polymarket
3mo left
Lai Ching-te impeached by...?
December 31
3%
Politics
2 markets
·
$1.4M Vol
polymarket
3mo left
French election called by...?
December 31, 2026
7%
Politics
9 markets
·
$1.1M Vol
polymarket
3d left
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)
77%
Politics
34 markets
·
$1.0M Vol
polymarket
17d left
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro
54%
Politics
32 markets
·
$574.2K Vol
polymarket
3mo left
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Yes
7%
Politics
1 market
·
$548.1K Vol
polymarket
3mo left
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)
Starmer - UK PM
100%
Politics
24 markets
·
$519.4K Vol
polymarket
3mo left
SBF released from custody in 2026?
Yes
2%
Politics
1 market
·
$455.1K Vol
polymarket
1mo left
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
Not Extended & Democratic Party
87%
Politics
5 markets
·
$405.4K Vol
polymarket
3mo left
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
94%
Politics
43 markets
·
$390.1K Vol
polymarket
3mo left
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?
December 31
34%
Politics
4 markets
·
$354.3K Vol
polymarket
3mo left
Lecornu out as French PM by...?
December 31, 2026
36%
Politics
8 markets
·
$351.4K Vol
polymarket
3mo left
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
1-100
82%
Politics
9 markets
·
$292.5K Vol
polymarket
3mo left
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
Yes
8%
Politics
1 market
·
$279.5K Vol
polymarket
3mo left
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?
Yes
6%
Politics
1 market
·
$272.9K Vol
polymarket
3mo left
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Yes
4%
Politics
1 market
·
$187.8K Vol
polymarket
3mo left
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
Yes
3%
Politics
1 market
·
$168.1K Vol
polymarket
3mo left
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Yes
18%
Politics
1 market
·
$158.7K Vol
polymarket
3mo left
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes
4%
Politics
1 market
·
$153.9K Vol
polymarket
3mo left
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 31
22%
Politics
12 markets
·
$152.0K Vol
polymarket
3mo left
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
Yes
2%
Politics
1 market
·
$149.5K Vol
polymarket
15d left
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by...?
September 30
3%
Politics
6 markets
·
$142.9K Vol
polymarket
1mo left
CA-28 House Election Winner
Judy Chu (D)
97%
Politics
8 markets
·
$141.3K Vol
polymarket
1mo left
CA-15 House Election Winner
Kevin Mullin (D)
96%
Politics
8 markets
·
$122.4K Vol
polymarket
3mo left
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
December 31, 2026
12%
Politics
6 markets
·
$118.1K Vol
polymarket
1mo left
VA-06 House Election Winner
Ben Cline (R)
93%
Politics
8 markets
·
$117.8K Vol
polymarket
1mo left
FL-01 House Election Winner
Jimmy Patronis (R)
96%
Politics
8 markets
·
$117.8K Vol
polymarket
1mo left
MS-01 House Election Winner
Trent Kelly (R)
96%
Politics
8 markets
·
$117.6K Vol
polymarket
3mo left
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
Yes
4%
Politics
1 market
·
$105.8K Vol
polymarket
1mo left
OK-03 House Election Winner
Frank Lucas (R)
97%
Politics
8 markets
·
$105.1K Vol
polymarket
1mo left
WI-02 House Election Winner
Mark Pocan (D)
97%
Politics
8 markets
·
$102.3K Vol
polymarket
3mo left
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2026
30%
Politics
3 markets
·
$94.9K Vol
polymarket
15d left
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by...?
September 30
20%
Politics
4 markets
·
$87.9K Vol
polymarket
15d left
Israel closes its airspace by...?
September 30
97%
Politics
19 markets
·
$81.3K Vol
polymarket
1mo left
AL-07 House Election Winner
Terri Sewell (D)
98%
Politics
8 markets
·
$79.5K Vol
polymarket
3mo left
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
Yes
2%
Politics
1 market
·
$79.2K Vol
polymarket
1mo left
MI-11 House Election Winner
Jeremy Moss (D)
96%
Politics
8 markets
·
$79.2K Vol
polymarket
3mo left
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?
Yes
6%
Politics
1 market
·
$76.4K Vol
polymarket
7mo left
2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate
Marine Le Pen
100%
Politics
30 markets
·
$73.5K Vol
polymarket
1mo left
KS-04 House Election Winner
Ron Estes (R)
93%
Politics
8 markets
·
$71.9K Vol
polymarket
3mo left
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
Yes
10%
Politics
1 market
·
$70.6K Vol
polymarket
1mo left
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
Yes
4%
Politics
1 market
·
$69.6K Vol
polymarket
1mo left
OH-06 House Election Winner
Michael Rulli (R)
95%
Politics
8 markets
·
$68.7K Vol
polymarket
3mo left
John Fetterman out by...?
December 31
4%
Politics
2 markets
·
$68.3K Vol
polymarket
1mo left
VA-09 House Election Winner
Morgan Griffith (R)
96%
Politics
8 markets
·
$66.3K Vol
polymarket
3mo left
Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by...?
December 31
4%
Politics
2 markets
·
$66.1K Vol
polymarket
1mo left
CA-50 House Election Winner
Scott Peters (D)
96%
Politics
8 markets
·
$64.6K Vol
polymarket
1mo left
CA-38 House Election Winner
Hilda Solis (D)
95%
Politics
8 markets
·
$64.3K Vol
polymarket
1mo left
TX-21 House Election Winner
Mark Teixeira (R)
94%
Politics
8 markets
·
$64.2K Vol
polymarket
3mo left
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes
18%
Politics
1 market
·
$63.9K Vol
polymarket
1mo left
NY-05 House Election Winner
Gregory Meeks (D)
97%
Politics
8 markets
·
$63.6K Vol
polymarket
1mo left
MA-02 House Election Winner
Jim McGovern (D)
95%
Politics
8 markets
·
$63.5K Vol
polymarket
1mo left
VA-03 House Election Winner
Bobby Scott (D)
96%
Politics
8 markets
·
$63.4K Vol
polymarket
1mo left
MS-03 House Election Winner
Michael Guest (R)
97%
Politics
8 markets
·
$62.0K Vol
polymarket
1mo left
IL-04 House Election Winner
Patty Garcia (D)
96%
Politics
8 markets
·
$61.6K Vol
polymarket
1mo left
WV-01 House Election Winner
Carol Miller (R)
96%
Politics
8 markets
·
$61.6K Vol
polymarket
1mo left
New Zealand legislative election winner?
Labour Party
56%
Politics
33 markets
·
$61.4K Vol